AOP Poll

Previous Poll Results

July 1, 2001 -- July 7, 2001

[151 votes total]

A poll, termed "relatively scientific," and "an exercise to see current  trends," released by the U.S. Department of State last week, suggests that  out of 4995 Afghans in 27 provinces, 50% of the women polled and 46% of the  men named former King Zahir Shah as the leader ``who can most successfully  address the problems facing Afghanistan today." Taliban leader Mullah Omar  received the backing of 11% of males and 6% of women. Veteran resistance  leader, Ahmad Shah Massoud is said to have received 2%. Twenty percent said  they "don't know," but there is no available data on the remaining 20% or so.  The State Department said it could not reveal who conducted the recent poll  or give other operational and methodological details.

Given current conditions in Afghanistan, where at least a third of the  population lives outside the country, millions are displaced internally, scores of villages and towns are depopulated or destroyed, fear and  hopelessness are rampant, which opinion do you identify with more closely concerning the poll:

1) It seems like a fairly accurate reading of Afghan opinion, and seems  fairly conducted. It is appropriate for such a poll to be released by the  State Department even if operational details are not provided. (62) -- 41%.
2) It does not seem to reflect a fairly accurate reading of Afghan opinion.  It does not seem to have been conducted fairly. It is not appropriate for  such a poll to be released by the US government under current conditions.  Operational details about methodology and data collection should be provided. (77) -- 51%.
3) Does not matter either way. (12) -- 8%.
4) No opinion.
(0) -- 0%

May 1, 2001 -- May 7, 2001

[196 votes total]

According to news reports, General Pervez Musharraf has declared that 99 per cent of Pakistan is being "held hostage" by Taliban-like religious extremists who constitute just one per cent of the population. Reacting to this statement, which opinion do you agree with the most:

1. The military leader of Pakistan is reflecting a real fear and sentiment, is opposed to the Talibanization of Pakistan, but faces challenges coping with the extremist threat. (35) -- 18%

2. Gen. Musharraf does not really believe in the extremist threat, is part of the establishment supporting it, and he is manipulating world public opinion by publicly denouncing Talibanism while promoting it. 
(130) -- 66%

3. I am not convinced either way, and think that it is too early to make any judgments about the statement. 
(14) -- 7%

4. None of the above. (17) -- 9%

March 2, 2001 -- March 10, 2001

[393 votes total]

In light of the new "edict" by Taliban militia leader Mullah M. Omar that all pre-Islamic artifacts and statues in Afghanistan should be destroyed, which reaction do you relate to and agree with the most:

1. I am happy and agree with the Taliban decision. It is wrong to preserve non-Islamic artifacts, thus all pre-Islamic artifacts and statues should be destroyed in Afghanistan. (34) -- 9%

2. I am distressed and do not agree. These artifacts and statues are not idolized and are part of the country's pre-Islamic history. They belong to all humanity as Muslim leaders past and present have not attempted to destroy them. (353) -- 89%

3. No opinion either way. (11) -- 3%

December 20, 2000 -- December 25, 2000

[100 votes total]

The United Nations Security Council adopted a resolution by majority vote Tuesday against the Taliban movement calling for a second set of sanctions, including an arms embargo, closure of terrorist camps, Taliban travel restrictions and freezing of Usama Bin Laden's assets among others. Which statement do you agree with the most:

1. As explained by most UN member states - the US and Russia in particular - the new set of sanctions approved Tuesday is specifically aimed at the Taliban leadership and allied terrorist networks, their sources of funding, will have minimal impact on the existing economic/humanitarian situation, and may be understood by most Afghans. (66) -- 66%

2. As advocated by Pakistani propaganda and pro-Taliban circles, the sanctions are targetting the Afghan people and Taliban's "Islamic Emirate", will prolong the war, deepen the human tragedy, and cause resentment among Afghans. (29) -- 29%

3. no opinion either way. (5) -- 5%

November 2, 2000 -- November 7, 2000

Do you believe that the United States will launch another attack on Osama bin Laden's bases in Afghanistan?

[142 votes total]

YES (49) -- 35%
NO (52) -- 37%
MAYBE (41) -- 29%

June 3, 2000 -- June 10, 2000

[196 votes total]

Although Russia has been very vocal in its threats to carry out air strikes on Afghanistan, there has been relatively little condemnation from The United States. Do you believe that this is because:

1. The United States supports the idea of Russian strikes on the alleged Terrorist Training Camps. (116)--59%

2. The United States knows that Russia will never carry out such threats. (24)--12%

3. The United States is not involved in the Russian threats, and therefore they do not want to become entangled in this political web. (24)--12%

4. None of the above. (32)--16%

January 20, 2000 --- January 26, 2000

[210 votes total]

As new evidence emerges about the roles of all parties involved in the hijacking of the Indian Airlines plane last month, India is insisting that the incident was planned by Pakistan, while Islamabad denies the charge. The Taliban, who did not allow a commando operation and let the hijackers get away, are now viewed with a certain amount of suspicion. Which of these scenarios is most believable:

1. The hijacking was staged by Pakistan, with no involvement of the Taliban. (45) -- 21%

2. The hijacking was staged by India. (26) -- 12%

3. The hijacking was planned by Pakistan with the involvement of some elements within the Taliban leadership. (59) -- 28%

4. The hijacking was staged by Kashmiri militants with the tacit support of Pakistani and Taliban circles. (57) -- 27%

5. Other scenario. (23) -- (10%)

December 19, 1999 --- December 26, 1999

[253 votes total]

According to an NNI report, and several other news agencies, the United States has made it clear that if any Americans are attacked by supporters of Osama bin Laden, the Taliban would be held responsible. Do you agree with this?

1) Yes, since the Taliban have chosen to protect and defend Osama bin Laden. (147) -- 58%

2) No, the Taliban are not responsible for other people's actions. (91) -- 35%

3) No comment. (15) -- 5%

December 1, 1999 -- December 8, 1999

[258 votes total]

1) The biggest obsatcle are the Taliban (minus Pakistan) themselves who would not agree to this plan for fear of losing power. (56)--22%

2) The biggest obstacle is the United Front , even though they have not opposed the plan. (30)--12%

3) The biggest obstacle is Pakistan, who may consider this move as against its strategic interests. (65)--25%

4) The biggest obstacle is Iran, who may consider the former King's role as a symbol as unacceptable. (6)--2%

5) The biggest obstacle is a lack of enough international support and attention to Afghanistan. (12)--5%

6) All of the above, more or less equally. (62)--24%

7) None of the above. (27)--10%

November 4, 1999 -- November 11, 1999

[181 votes total]

As of this date, the case of Osama Bin Laden has not reached a conclusive ending. UN sanctions on the Taliban is to take effect on Nov. 14. Meanwhile, the pro-Taliban/Osama lobby in Pakistan is spreading reports that Afghans oppose Bin Laden's extradition. Which of these assessments do you agree with the most:

1) As claimed by a Pakistani lobby, Osama is a symbol of pride for Afghans who consider him as a guest and hero. He should not be extradited under any condition. (37)--20%

2) As claimed by the United States and the UN, Bin Laden is accused of masterminding anti-American terrorist activities and should be brought to justice for that reason under any condition. (19)--10%

3) As claimed by other Afghans, Bin Laden - allied with the Taliban - is no longer a mujahed. His network is responsible for the massacre of Afghan citizens, the destruction of Afghanistan and for using Afghan soil for illegal activities. He should leave Afghanistan or be held responsible according to Afghan penal laws. (110)--61%

4) None of the above. (15)--8%

October 14, 1999 --October 24, 1999

Given Pakistan's interventionist policy toward Afghanistan in past years, what is your initial impression of the Pakistani military coup d'etat in relation to the on-going Afghan crisis:

[194 votes total]

A) Will lead to a change in policy, less interventionist, to exert pressure on the Taliban and pursue a more constructive approach. (25)--13%

B) More or less the same policy will be pursued in support of the Taliban with no change in the balance of power in sight. (70)--36%

C) Will result in an escalation in Pakistan's intervention in Afghan affairs to assist the Taliban gain total control as soon as possible. (82)--42%

D) Other possibilities. (17)--9%

September 27, 1999 -- October 4, 1999

In advance of the U.N. General Assembly, pro-Taliban Pakistani propaganda is unsubstantially claiming that most Afghans would like to see the UN Afghan seat be vacated. Since this has been a top Pakistani goal for the past few years. Which option do you favor:

[214 votes total]

A) The Pakistani option for the UN to vacate the Afghan seat and suspend Afghanistan's representation at the UN for an undetermined period of time. (10)--5%

B) The Taliban option, to give the Afghanistan seat to the Islamic Emirate representative. (59)--28%

C) The existing option, to keep the seat in the hands of the nominal Islamic State of Afghanistan representative until the will of the people is expressed in the future. (127)--59%

D) None of the above. (18)--8%

September 21, 1999 -- September 26, 1999

The Pakistani government has once again undertaken a so-called "peace initiative" to facilitate a distant dialogue between the two warring Afghan factions. Which statement best describes the current Pakistani effort:

[143 votes total]

A) This is not a ploy. As described by the Taliban and Islamabad itself, Pakistan is an impartial and "honest broker" who can and should help resolve the Afghan crisis according to
its own views and interests. (15) --10%

B) This is another ploy. As described by the United Front opposition and many countries, Pakistan cannot be counted on because of its support for the Taliban. Instead, the UN should play a mediating role. (100)--70%

C) Neither statement is correct. (28)--20%

September 11, 1999 -- September 19, 1999

A US State Department report recently gave evidence of widespread religious persecution in Afghanistan under the Taliban rule. It also stated that atheism is considered "apostasy" and is punishable by death. However, the Taliban continue to state that they respect the rights of all people, regardless of their religious affiliations. What do you believe?

[260 votes total]

A) The Taliban are lying. They are oppressing people not adhering to their views on Islam. They are openly terrorizing the Shi'a minority as well as Hindus, Sikhs, etc. (179) -- 69%

B) The Taliban are protecting the rights of everyone, regardless of religion. (57) -- 22%

C) I don't care, those people should not have rights in Afghanistan. (7) -- 3%

D) No Comment. (17) -- 7%


August 11, 1999 -- August 16, 1999

Taliban leaders and several Pakistani religious institutions, have asked the NWFP Pakistani religious madrassas to close down so that thousands of trained Talibs could join the war against the Afghan resistance and anti-Taliban forces. Do you consider this call and action to fight against Moslem Afghans in their own country as:

[187 votes total]

A) A religious and Jehadi duty, in which any Pakistani, Arab, or muslim can and should
take part of. (39) --21%

B) A Foriegn, ie. Pakistani conspiracy to extend its proxy rule over Afghanistan, in the name of Islam, but in reality for geo-strategic goals. (122) --65%

C) None of the above. (26) --14%

August 2, 1999 -- August 8, 1999

In light of the recent Taliban offensive against the Afghan opposition forces, what do you think the outcome will be?

[230 votes total]

A) The Taliban, and their foreign recruits will be able to take the remaining portion of Afghanistan. (72) -- 31%
B) The opposition will continue to survive. (139) -- 60%
C) I don't know. (19) -- 8%

July 26, 1999 -- August 1, 1999

Several press and eyewittness reports indicate that several thousand armed Pakistani and Arab extremist fighters
have crossed into Afghanistan to join the Taliban's imminent offensive against the Afghan resistance, and Anti-Taliban forces. How would you consider and deal with such a development?

[ 168 votes total]

A) Regardless of their nationality, I consider them as legitimate Taliban allies whose involvement in the Afghan conflict is legitimate. (33) -- 20%

B) I consider the Taliban's foreign fighters as illegitiment invaders who should be dealt with as spies and criminals
according to Afghan penal and national security laws. (109) --
65%

C) It does not matter either way. Pakistani and Arab extremists involvement is not a major issue in the
conflict. (21) --
12%

D) None of the above (5) -- 3%

July 18, 1999 -- July 25, 1999

The Taliban have announced that Osama bin Laden can be tried in a third country (excluding Saudi Arabia and the United States) on the condition that the suspected terrorist agrees to it. Do you agree with this?

[101 votes total]

A) I disagree. Osama bin Laden should be sent to the United States for trial, whether he agrees or not. He is a terrorist! (45) -- 45%
B) I agree. Osama bin Laden should be sent to a third country ( excluding Saudi Arabia and USA), this is the only way he will receive a fair trial. (35) --35%
C) I disagree completely. Osama bin Laden is not a terrorist. He should not be forced to leave Afghanistan or anywhere else. (21) -- 21%

July 13, 1999 -- July 18, 1999

United States policy and attitude toward the Taliban movement has fluctuated over the past four years. Taking into consideration the main bilateral policy contentions dealing with terrorism, human/women rights, narcotics production and Taliban unwillingness to reach a political settlement, which of these courses do you consider the best for policy-makers to adopt:

[108 votes total]

A) The "carrot approach," by offering the Taliban positive incentives, dialogue and cooperation. (22) -- 20%
B) The "stick approach," by exerting further political, economic and other pressures on the
Taliban and Pakistan to force some changes. (16) -- 15%
C) Multilateral efforts to undermine and ultimately help replace the Taliban with a more acceptable alternative. (55) -- 51%
D) Maintain the status-quo and follow a policy of irregular-engagement (3) -- 3%
E) None of the above. (12) -- 11%

July 4, 1999 -- July 11, 1999

Jason Burke, in an article for the Observer, (UK) reported that Osama bin Laden is currently believed to be in the village of Farmihadda . He also reported that the Taliban are aware of bin Laden's location, and that they had even deployed guards to protect his new base. What do you believe?

[140 votes total]

1. Jason Burke is correct. Osama bin Laden is in Farmhidda and the Taliban are aware of it. They are even helping him. (60) -- 43%
2) The report is false. Osama bin Laden is not in Farmhidda, and the Taliban have no idea where he is hiding. (22) --16%
3) The Taliban are hiding him in Kandahar or somewhere else. (40) -- 29%
4) Osama bin Laden is not in Afghanistan. (8) -- 6%
5) None of the above. (10) -- 7%

June 28, 1999 -- July 4, 1999

The first step in former Afghan King M. Zahir Shah's peace/Loya Jirga initiative has just been launched with the gathering of a consultative/work group in Rome. Other steps are to follow in the next few months. In your opinion, of the events and causes listed below, which one is the most serious and dangerous factor that could derail and/or damage the Loya Jirga peace process:

[105 votes total]

1. The Taliban's total military victory on the battlefield against the Afghan opposition resistance forces. (25) -- 24%
2. Pakistan and the Taliban's invisible undermining and/or overt opposition to the King's initiative. (28) -- 27%
3. The international community's lukewarm reaction and/or lack of commitment to support and promote the initiative. (8) -- 8%
4. Iran's opposition to a role being played by the former King. (7) -- 7%
5. Favoritism and organizational mismanagement within the former King's work circle (28) -- 27%
6. None of the above. (9) -- 9%

June 20, 1999 -- June 27, 1999

The North West Frontier Province of Pakistan is former Afghan land. Most of the inhabitants want to have the province renamed Pakhtunkhwa. Do you believe that:

[138 votes total]

The Pashtuns have a right to be recognized as Pakhtunkhwa (52) -- 38%
The Frontier Province is a part of Pakistan now (28)-- 20%
Only the first step to reuniting with Afghanistan (38)--28%
None of these (20)--14%

May 30, 1999 -- June 6, 1999

Recently, the Indian goverment has charged that Afghan nationals are involved in the Kashmiri war. Do you believe this to be true, or just a false accusation made by Indian officials?

    [226 votes total]

    It is true. Afghans are involved. (129) -- 57%
    It is not true. Afghans are not involved. (55) -- 24%
    Maybe, or it is possible. (42) -- 19%

May 23, 1999 -- May 30, 1999

Recent reports indicate again that Afghans, specifically Shiaa Afghans in the provinces of Bamyan and now Herat, have been the target of mass murder and persecution by the Taliban. From all accounts, which one of the following statements is closer to reality to describe the ongoing situation:

    [369 votes total]

1. The Taliban and their foreign supporter are waging a "reign of terror" specifically aimed at disrupting Afghan ethnic unity, to consolidate their rule through fear and intimidation. These popular uprisings are not foreign-inspired. (179) -- 49%

2. The Taliban care and believe in "peace and security," and will try to maintain them for the people's sake, and not their own power-driven agenda. These popular riots are foreign-inspired. (177) -- 48%

3. None of the above. (13) -- 4%

May 16, 1999 -- May 23, 1999

Recently the Taleban Governor of Kandahar, Mohammad Hassan Rehmani told the BBC that the recent destruction of some opium poppy fields, was a signal to the world, showing that the Taleban is serious in its intentions to rid Afghanistan of the crop. Do you feel that the Taleban's intentions are genuine or a ploy to keep the UN and other Western critics quiet?

    [259 votes total]

    It is a ploy, the Taleban are not serious. (149) -- 58%
    The Taleban's intentions are genuine. (110) -- 42%

May 9, 1999 -- May 16, 1999

The former King of Afghanistan recently announced an initiative to send delegations to meet with both Afghan warring factions, extend an invitation to them to attend an emergency Loya Jirga and convene a 30-member Jirga organizing team in the near future. Which of the following best describes the former King's latest decisions and initiatives ?

[224 votes total]

1. He is now more serious than before and believes that conditions are ripe for such activities to convene an emergency Jirga.
(51) --23%

2. He is out of touch with the realities on the ground, and as the Taliban claim, he has lost the trust of the people and his initiative is as a result of foreign pressure. (76) -- 34%

3. As an afghan, his role in convening a Jirga is acceptable, but as the United Front (Talib opposition) claims, he should demonstrate more sincerity, realism and activism. (73) -- 33%

4. None of the above. (24) --11%

May 1, 1999 -- May 9, 1999

The Taliban have recently told the citizens of Kabul to paint their walls white in order to "beautify" the city. Do you feel that:

[264 votes total]

A) It is a bad idea. Many people cannot even afford to buy food. How can they be expected to pay for paint. (141) -- 53%
B) I think it is a good idea. Kabul needs to be touched up. (59) -- 22%
C) It is a good idea, but a bad time to do it. (58) -- 22%
D) No comment. (6) -- 2%

April 24, 1999 -- May 1, 1999

The latest fall of Bamiyan city into opposition hands and subsequent Taliban retreat from the area is an indication that:

    [275 votes total]

1. The Taliban hold on central and northern Afghanistan is weak and not supported by the local inhabitants. (161) -- 59%
2. The opposition Front is comparatively better organized and militarily unified. (24) -- 9%
3. The Taliban retreat is tactical or temporary and they will regain control of the area. (72) -- 26%
4. None of the above. (18) -- 7%

April 17, 1999 -- April 24, 1999

The Pakistanis have made it clear that they favor recent moves to seal the borders between Pakistan and Afghanistan, as well as supporting efforts to expel Afghan refugees in Pakistan. Do you think that Pakistan has the right to repatriate the Afghan refugees against their will, knowing that many of the refugees would return to great hardships and/or peril?

    [369 votes total]

    Yes, the Pakistanis should force them to go back to Afghanistan. (53) -- 14%
    No, the Pakistanis should not force them. (311) -- 84%
    Maybe (5) -- 1%

April 10, 1999 -- April 17, 1999

Many believe that the Afghan problem requires a durable political solution. In case a settlement is reached to end the war and pursue a political solution, which mechanism and/or type of gathering do you favor to decide on the form of government, constitution and leadership that may be acceptable to most Afghans and the international community:

    [247 votes total]

    A referundum under UN supervison (48) -- 19%
    Elections under international supervision (51) -- 21%
    A representative Loya Jirga (93) -- 38%
    A council of Mollahs and religious figures (24) -- 10%
    none of the above (31) -- 13%

April 4, 1999 -- April 10, 1999

Recently Jehanzeb Khan Shinwari, a prominent Afghan commander and close confidant of ex-governor of Ningarhar, Haji Qadeer was gunned down in Pakistan. Shinwari is just one of many well known Afghans to be killed in this fashion. Some theorize that the Pakistani government is secretly behind these killings. Do you believe that the Pakistani Government is somehow behind the assassinations of prominent Afghan Commanders and other Afghan Personalities?

    [299 votes total]

    YES, Pakistan is involved. (227) -- 76%
    NO, the Pakistani government is not involved. (45) -- 15%
    MAYBE (27) -- 9%

March 27, 1999 - April 3, 1999

Many international organizations, governments, humanitarian, human rights, women and children's rights groups, experts, journalists, individuals and now the entertainment industry celebrities are accusing the Taliban of grave women's rights abuses and "gender apartheid" in Afghanistan. Do you approve of this growing worldwide condemnation of the Taliban, and think it is valid and should continue?

    [616 votes total]

    YES, the Taliban should be condemned. (370) -- 60%
    NO, the Taliban should not be condemned. (234) -- 38%
    MAYBE (12) -- 2%

March 21, 1999 -- March 27, 1999

Since the people of Afghanistan have so little, do you think it is right for the Taliban to prevent them from enjoying Nowruz?

    [584 votes total]

    NO. It is wrong. The Taliban should not ban Nowruz. (429) -- 73%
    YES. The Taliban should prevent them from enjoying Nowruz. (155) -- 27%

March 14, 1999 -- March 20, 1999

Do you think that the return of former king Amanullah Khan's son could help bring about peace in Afghanistan?

    [465 votes total]

    YES (123) -- 26%
    NO (232) -- 50%
    POSSIBLY (110) -- 24%

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