Pros and Cons of
Permanent US bases in Afghanistan

Khadija Ibrahimi
February 27, 2011

Recently, President Hamid Karzai admitted to the media that the Americans have been asking him about setting up permanent bases in Afghanistan. To no one's surprise, almost right away, both United States Secretary of State, Hilary Clinton, and the American Ambassador, Karl Eikenberry, denied that the United States wants to setup permanent bases in Afghanistan. Considering Afghanistan's strategic location in Asia and the natural resources it has underneath its ground, its very much believable that the Americans are pushing to setup permanent bases in Afghanistan. Of course, countries like Pakistan, Russia, as well as hardcore nationalists and religious figures in the country are against the idea of permanent US bases. For the Afghan people, there are benefits as well as drawbacks of having permanent bases in Afghanistan.

One major benefit to having permanent US bases in Afghanistan is that it will further stabilize Afghanistan and prevent the take over of Afghanistan by the Taliban. The even sweeter aspect of this is that Pakistan will be stopped from taking over and controlling Afghanistan. This has been an objective of Pakistan since the 1970s, when they trained some ignorant Afghans to destabilize the government of President Mohammad Daoud. They are currently trying to destabilize the Afghan government using the Taliban. Pakistan's support, militarily, logistically and financially are known to everyone by now - despite Pakistan's ridiculous denials. The Afghan people can breathe easier knowing that the Pakistanis have been stopped.

Another major benefit to having permanent bases in Afghanistan is that it will bring Afghanistan even closer to the United States, not just militarily, but economically as well. Afghan translators, as well as other type of local Afghan workers tend to work in these bases. Also local merchants sell to these soldiers. On a larger scale, it doesn't hurt to have the biggest super power in the world as your ally and friend. It has done wonders for countries like Germany, South Korea and Japan. All of these countries have thriving economies and they all have permanent US bases. Already in Afghanistan, the economy and people's lives have greatly improved. Of course, things are not perfect, but it is far better than the dark days of Taliban rule. Even before the Taliban, Afghanistan was pretty much on its own, with very little help from its neighbors or the west.

The most obvious negative thing about permanent US bases in Afghanistan is that Afghanistan risks losing its independence, at least to some degree. Perhaps the US may not get involved in internal issues, but the foreign policy will greatly be influenced, if not controlled by the Americans. We will have a situation like during the rule of Amir Abdur Rahman or Amir Habibullah, where the British controlled Afghanistan's foreign policy. They may dictate to us what country we can be friends with, and what country we must be against. Having US bases in the country will make it very difficult for Afghans to decide their own fate.

Another reason against the bases is that Afghans can become too dependent on them. For example, when George W. Bush invaded Iraq, he wanted Germany to be part of the coalition. When they voiced their opinion against the Iraqi invasion and occupation, the Americans threatened to close down their bases in Germany. The local German economies were very much dependent on those US bases, and they couldn't afford to have them be removed without serious economic implications for the Germans.

Finally, many people, including Afghans enjoy it when guests visit their home, however, people tend to look negatively towards "permanent guests", especially ones that cannot so easily be forced out or are perceived to have special privileges. Right now, Afghanistan and the United States of America enjoy a pretty good relationship, and the vast majority of Afghans are pro-American. However, will the Afghan people still feel the same way knowing that the Americans will never leave? It's only natural to think that there is bound to happen an incident or a series of incidents which may trigger a major political crises. Imagine a situation where an American soldier or even a normal American citizen breaks the law. Americans and Afghans usually have different expectations when it comes to punishing criminals. If Afghans are not satisfied with the punishment, they may feel that the American is getting special treatment because their military bases are in the country, and as result, the positive views held by Afghans towards Americans can quickly erode.

Clearly, the Americans have long term interests in Afghanistan, however, the Afghan people need to seriously think about the pros and cons before deciding on this important issue. The extremists and Afghanistan's neighbors should not influence the Afghan people's decision on this matter. We need rational minds to make rational decisions for the long term benefit of Afghanistan.

Khadija Ibrahimi is a graduate student studying political science.  She can be reached at khadija_ibrahimi@yahoo.com

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